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Re: UBZII vs K-O

Posted by Ken Fuchs on Thursday, 8 January 1998, at 10:40 a.m., in response to UBZII vs KO, posted by Lounge Lizard on Sunday, 4 January 1998, at 10:41 p.m.

>Ken:
>
>I'm running a series of sims for SD and DD comparing
>KO to UBZII to pick a system. The early
>results: I'm stunned by the power of KO. I thought
>you had rigged the sims...

I'll try not to take that as an insult. :)

>... in the book by betting
>perfectly with the count with a healthy spread so
>that the high BC would show good results at the
>expense of systems with higher PE.

All systems had bets that were made in perfect
accordance to the count so that the systems could be
compared on fair terms. The spreads where chosen
to be in line with what is usually recommended
to spread in each type of game.

> I'm starting to
>run some SD sims with a 1-2 spread; KO is
>doing very well. I simmed a SD game, 40 cards dealt
>with a 1-2 spread, figuring KO would get
>destroyed under those conditions. The result: UBZII
>won 1.36 units per hour and KO won 1.22
>units per hour. I raised the bet to 2 on a +2 for
>both systems.
>
>Congratulations on developing such a powerful simple >system.

Thank you.

>
>One thought for the next edition. Report units per
>100 hands (what I used to define an hour). I think
>win % is a bogus statistic.

I like "win per 100 hands" also. This is why in
the book the average bet is shown along the EV
so you can easily determine the win rate yourself.
win rate = EV * avg bet

Regards,
-Ken Fuchs


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