Systems Archive 1
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Re: Where does the power come from?
Posted by T-Hopper on 13 February 1998, at 4:49 p.m., in response to Where does the power come from?, posted by Steve Heston on 11 February 1998, at 5:02 p.m.
We haven't yet seen your sims, but I'm wondering exactly why T-Hop 1 gets high returns (comparable to Omega II).
I believe T-Hop 1 Plus and T-Hop 2 will be comparable to Omega II. T-Hop 1 is a tiny bit weaker but many people will find it far easier. I have decided to stay with Omega II because I've come up with some other ideas for it that I want to experiment with later this year.
Most ace-reckoned systems have near-perfect betting correlation; higher returns probably come mostly from improved playing decisions.
Don't forget that betting efficiency is not the same as betting correlation. I have compared the win rate for High-Low and Halves with basic strategy and the difference is more significant than you would estimate by just using a linear comparison.
It appears TKO barely outperforms KO, so true counting is unimportant for unbalanced systems. Consequently you could probably achieve comparable results with any balanced ace-reckoned system by adding aces-seen. So High-low becomes High-ho and Uston Plus/Minus becomes T-Hop's and Pete Moss's playing count. Unfortunately you have indicated High-lo/Hi-Opt does not perform as well as the other level 1 systems. Is there an explanation?
Yes it is simple. The 7 is very important for playing strategy variation and this has led to the general perception that there is such a large difference between level one and level two systems when this not the case with unbalanced systems such as T-Hop 1, T-Hop 1 Plus, and K-O compared to similar level two counts. I posted the playing efficiency for the other level one systems on this page and I will follow up with level two in the future.
You have shown how level 1 ace-reckoned systems can compete with the best by using effective side counts. This should be quite popular.
There are a lot of people who still aren't convinced but when the book comes out and also when the second volume is available for comparison there will be conclusive proof that level one systems can be much stronger than previously believed.
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