Systems Archive 3

Re: Ken Fuches question ???

Posted by Brh on 25 March 1999, at 7:46 p.m., in response to Ken Fuches question ???, posted by Susan on 24 March 1999, at 3:08 a.m.

Susan,

Your questions can be answered easily by reference the the unbalanced true count. Have a look at my response to Troy on the Open Page.

I cant say exactly what advantage you would have with an RC of +4, since I dont know what your IRC is, but if you can calculate the UTC, you can figure it out.

To calculate the K-O UTC for a two deck game, your IRC must be -8. At the beginning, your UTC is therefore -4. If after one round with two players (assume 8 cards dealt), the RC has risen to -4, the UTC will be now (-4/1.85) = -2.1.

Now the K-O UTC is pretty close to the Hi-Lo TC - 4, so that this is close to the Hi-Lo TC of +2, which indicates a change in expectation of about 1% from neutral.

You should be able to do this for your '+4' and '+8' cases, provided you adjust the RC for (presumably) using a different IRC than -8.

If you have access to Hi-Lo soft doubling indices, you can use these for the K-O UTC indices, provided they are shifted down by 4. So an index of 0 becomes -4. Now if you play using the running count, it is a good approximation to convert the UTC index to an RC index at some 'average' deck level, say 1.25 decks remaining, and just use it for the whole shoe. Remember though, this only works for an IRC of -8, so you will have to readjust any RC indices you calculate if you use a different IRC. Alternatively, just get SBA and generate all the RC indices you wish.

Cheers, Brett.

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