Systems Archive 3
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Crystal ball time
Posted by Cyrus on 8 October 1999, at 12:32 a.m., in response to Of course, you're right..., posted by Moe on 7 October 1999, at 7:05 p.m.
"Saw a post elsewhere that BJ may be unbeatable in 10 years. Do you believe that to be the case?"
My own personal opinion is that it will not be unbeatable ever. Unbeatable means continuous shufflers or single limit tables everywhere. This won't happen for marketing reasons everywhere, though we'll see it in more and more places - and especially where there's no (or very limuted) competition, e.g. Europe. An interesting factoid on Europe, perhaps relevant to C/Shufflers: Self-service shops, like gas stations, have caught on in Northern Europe but not in the South; the culture is more impersonal in the lands of Nords and Saxons. This should mean that Monaco will still deal'em out of the shoe.
But, speaking of Monaco: I do believe however, and that's still my own humble opinion, that the game will get so tough to beat it won't be worth it for many people. For starters, the rules will continue to slide south. The window of opportunity will get smaller. And then, the surveillance, the play tracking, the counters & cheaters ID data filing & sharing - all this will get to be done easier, faster and very much less costly. Integration in the casino industry (ie mergers, buy-outs) also has this immediate side-effect. Which means that it'll be so difficult to play a good game translatable to some good money that we'll have fewer high stakes pros, fewer roaming teams, less serious attacks on the game, fewer mid-stakes counters able to slip through, less even casual players trying to play with the upper hand. Who needs 86ing when you're out basically to enjoy yourself? Those "card counters" who will be left alone will not be hurting the casinos.
Long-Term: We're dead.
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