Systems Archive 4

Re: How to Bet - Unbalanced Running Count

Posted by T-Hopper on 19 June 2000, at 4:15 p.m., in response to How to Bet - Running Count vs. True Count, posted by T-Hopper on 14 June 2000, at 9:11 a.m.

The Running Five Count is an example of an unbalanced count. If each five is counted as +1, the count at the end of a single deck will be 4 points greater than the starting count. A good rule to follow is to always make the ending count equal 0. With the Running Five Count, start at -4 and end at 0. This gives you the # of fives remaining in the deck, with a - sign in front of it.

If we know the running count but not the number of cards remaining, the Running Five Count gives much more useful information with a count of 0 than with a count of -4. 0 always means there are 0 fives remaining. -4 could mean anything from 4 fives out of 52 cards (1/13) immediately after the shuffle, to about 4 fives in 16 cards (1/4 cards) late in the deck. This 0 point where a gives the same information as a/b is referred to as the pivot point. For High-Low, the pivot point is 0.

For betting purposes in blackjack, the player is mostly interested in the relatively narrow range of counts where the player a small but significant advantage, and is unsure of the proper bet sizes. With a very high or a very low count, the betting decision is automatic. With an unbalanced count with a pivot point indicating a player advantage in the neighborhood of 1% or 2%, the running count(a) will be closer to the true count(a/b) for this range of counts.

To be continued...(Next post: Comparing Pivot Points)

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