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Re: Where can I test a new system

Posted by Doc on 23 July 2002, at 9:29 p.m., in response to Re: Where can I test a new system , posted by T. Hopper on 23 July 2002, at 5:15 p.m.

Most card-counting systems I've read about only assess shoe-potential, not the actual flow of cards. They also require you to increase or decrease your bets, based on the count, before the cards are dealt. The result is you may have a large bet down because the count is favorable, but find yourself in the midst of a run of small cards or, just as bad, have a small bet down because the count is not favorable, and draw two 10s or A10.

In my system, the count can be at one of six different values: 0, the same as before, the shoe is 10-rich and 10s are playing, the shoe is 10-rich and 10s are not playing, the shoe is 10-poor and tens are playing and lastly, the shoe is 10-poor and 10s are not playing. For practical purposes, these are divided into 3 simple groupings:

Group 1 - the most favorable. The shoe is 10-rich and 10s are playing. This probably occurs 15% of the time or less. I put more $ into play by splitting and doubling aggressively and taking insurance.

Group 2 - the least favorable. The shoe is 10-poor and tens are not playing. This probably occurs 15% of the time or less. I put less $ into play by minimizing the times when I will double or split and I don't take insurance.

Group 3 - the count is 0, the same, the shoe is 10-rich, but 10s are not playing or the shoe is 10-poor and 10s are playing. This probably occurs about 60% of the time or more. My play here is a very conservative, but pretty standard, basic strategy.

This way, I get the most $ into play when the flow of cards and the shoe potential are the most favorable and risk the least $ when the flow of cards and shoe potential are least favorable. Sounds complicated to explain, but it is very simple in application. I'm certain it could be simulated very easily with existing software.


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