Voodoo Archive 1
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Re: One card counter's perspective
Posted by Bootlegger on 26 May 1998, at 3:49 p.m., in response to Re: One card counter's perspective, posted by JJ on 26 May 1998, at 11:32 a.m.
JJ, I'm not sure I agree with your assessment that 99% of all card counters lose. I know I don't agree with your placing me in the top 1% of card counters. There are plenty of folks out there who are much more experienced and better players than me. Michael Dalton is one of them. I would not be surprised if a very large percentage of people who are exposed to card counting, either through a book or an article, are playing a losing game, but if a person is willing to put in the work, he or she can win at blackjack with card counting.
You asked about "short-tem" goals. I suppose if I had "short-term" goals for a single trip, it would be to win at the rate of 1 1/2 to 2 units per hour of play. Before I take a trip, I look at CBJN to get an idea of the rules and playing conditions in the area I plan to visit. I decide how many hours I intend to play and take along a bankroll which will provide me with a low risk of ruin for the number of hours I want to play, considering the kinds of games I will be facing.
At an individual table session, I generally buy in with 20 or 30 units. Those sessions average a little under an hour in length, with the longest being around 3 hours and the shortest as little as one hand of play. I look for tables which offer the game and rules I want to play and where the dealer is giving good penetration. If its a single decker, I won't sit down to play if there are more than two other players at the table.
I leave a table when:
1. The penetration worsens or there are more than two other players in a single decker.
2. I have made a quick score which goes far beyond my normal expectation and it looks to me like that score attracted attention from the pit.
3. I have lost my buy-in. (a rule I have broken from time-to-time)
4. I am tired.
5. I have played the amount of time I have alloted to that particular "session."
6. The dealer shuffles up on me when I put out my big bet.
7. I see visible signs of heat, such as the pit boss counting down the discards, whispered conversations in the pit with everyone looking in my direction, especially if followed-up by a phone call from the pit or a pit-boss camps out at my shoulder for an inordinately long period of time.
8. I have something else to do, such as eat, see a show, meet my wife, etc.
Considering your low opinion of me, which you have made clear in several posts, I am surprised you would want to meet me. However, I will be in Reno in June. You can e-mail me if you would like to arrange a meeting.
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